A large high east of New Zealand extends a ridge over the North Island. A northwest flow over southern New Zealand strengthens ahead of a series of fronts approaching from the Tasman Sea.

There is low confidence of rainfall accumulations reaching warning amounts during the second half of the day in central and southern Fiordland.

The ridge remains lying across the North Island.

The fronts move slowly north over the South Island, bringing rain with some possible heavy falls to both western and eastern parts of the island. There is moderate confidence that a heavy rain warning will be required for the ranges of central and northern Westland, with low confidence for southern Westland and Fiordland. There is also low confidence heavy rain could affect Mid and South Canterbury, North Otago, and northern parts of Central Otago.

An east to northeast flow covers the North Island.

Over the South Island, the frontal system weakens and becomes slow moving over the upper half of the Island.

There is low confidence for warning amounts of heavy rain in the ranges of central and northern Westland, Buller, and for much of Canterbury.

A northeast flow covers New Zealand, bringing rain or showers to some eastern areas of both islands.
A low pressure system becomes slow moving over the Tasman Sea. A frontal rain band associated with the low may affect Northland.

Although currently, there is minimal risk of severe weather for New Zealand, there is uncertainty with how much rain the front could bring to Northland, and the situation will be monitored by forecasters.