Severe Weather Outlook
Issued: 10:37am Friday 14 Feb 2025
Valid Sunday 16-Feb-2025
There is minimal risk of severe weather affecting the country.
Valid Monday 17-Feb-2025
Valid Tuesday 18-Feb-2025
There is low confidence of rainfall accumulations meeting warning criteria for Coromandel Peninsula, parts of Bay of Plenty, northern Gisborne/Tairawhiti and Tasman.
Valid Wednesday 19-Feb-2025
There is minimal risk of severe weather affecting the country.
Low confidence:
A 20% likelihood (or 1 chance in 5) of a warning being issued.
Moderate confidence:
A 40% likelihood (or 2 chances in 5) of a warning being issued.
High confidence:
a 60% likelihood (or 3 chances in 5) of a warning being issued.
New issues of this forecast are made available on this site at or before 16:30 NZST
Thunderstorm Outlook
Valid to Midnight Saturday, 15-Feb-2025
Issued: 8:21pm Friday 14 Feb 2025
Severe Thunderstorm Criteria
In New Zealand, MetService classifies a thunderstorm as severe if one or more of the following criteria are met:
Heavy rain (from thunderstorms):
Rainfall of 25 millimetres per hour, or more.
Large hail:
Hailstones 20 millimetres in diameter, or larger.
Strong wind gusts (from thunderstorms):
Gusts of 110 kilometres per hour / 60 knots or stronger.
Damaging tornadoes:
Fujita F1 (wind speeds greater than 116 kilometres per hour / 63 knots) or stronger.