A low approaches the North Island from the northwest and an associated front is expected to move onto the upper North Island, while another front moves onto Fiordland from the Tasman Sea, bringing strong northwesterlies and heavy rain. There is low confidence that warning amounts of rain will accumulate in Northland, northern Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula, but moderate confidence that warning amounts of rain will accumulate in Fiordland. There is low confidence that severe northwest gales will affect Fiordland and Southland.

The remnants of the low and the associated front is expected to move across the northern half of the North Island, while the front over Fiordland moves northeast over remainder of the South Island.
There is low confidence that warning amounts of rain will accumulate from Northland through to Taupo, also northern Gisborne/Tairawhiti, and from northwest Tasman to Westland, but moderate confidence that warning amounts of rain will accumulate in Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty and Fiordland.

A strong west to southwest flow spreads across the country in the morning, while a high in the Tasman Sea gradually spreads a ridge onto northern New Zealand later in the day. There is low confidence that severe westerly gales will affect coastal Southland and Clutha.

A strong west to southwest flow gradually easing as the ridge builds across the country. There is minimal risk of severe weather.