A large, slow-moving complex low pressure system lies over the country. Rain or showers are likely in many areas, especially in the east.

There is moderate confidence that a heavy rainfall warning will be needed for southern Tararua District, Wairarapa, Wellington and eastern Marlborough. For eastern Bay of Plenty, northern Gisborne/Tairawhiti, Canterbury Coast and Plains, North Otago, Dunedin and Clutha there is low confidence that warning amounts of rain will fall.

For Wellington, South Taranaki and coastal Marlborough there is also low confidence that south to southeast winds will strengthen to severe gale force.

Snow may affect some of the higher roads about the northern South Island, but it is unlikely that broadscale snow warnings will be needed.

A large, complex low pressure system may move slowly east of the country during the day. Rain and showers are likely in the east.

There is moderate confidence that warning amounts of rain will fall in the Tararua District, Wairarapa, Wellington, eastern Marlborough and North Canterbury. For Hawke's Bay, Mid and South Canterbury Plains, North Otago, Dunedin and Clutha there is low confidence that a heavy rainfall warning will be needed.

There is low confidence that severe south to southeast gales could affect coastal Marlborough, Wellington and South Taranaki.

Snow may affect some higher roads in both Islands, but it is unlikely that broadscale snow warnings will be needed.

A cool southerly airflow is expected to affect the country. Rain or showers are likely to affect eastern areas, but there is a lot of variation between models where the heaviest falls are likely.

There is low confidence that heavy rainfall warnings will be needed for some places in the east from Hawke's Bay to Southland, and also Wellington.

Cool southerlies cover the country. The winds may ease if a high moves onto the southern South Island.

There is low confidence that heavy rainfall warnings will be needed in Wairarapa, Wellington, eastern Marlborough and the Canterbury Plains.